Tuesday, March 08, 2005

Its safe to turn on the TV Illini fans. You're still #1. Who else is?

By the way Illinois fans, you can now watch ESPN again. The talk of the Illinois upset has gone away for the most part. What a blood bath Sunday was! With all the carnage, it shook out who the definiate #1 seeds are. The problem is with that last #1 seed.

#1 overall
Illinois

One loss doesn't change this. The only thing that changes this is if North Carolina wins the ACC tourney and Illinois does not win the Big Ten tourney. Think that isn't fair. Maybe not, but that is what will happen.

#1 (2nd overall)
North Carolina

They finally beat one of the other top 3 teams in the ACC.

#1 (3rd overall)
Wake Forest

They will flip with North Carolina if they beat them in the ACC tourney. After Sunday this is an obvious place for Wake Forest. I don't see anyway they move to #1 overall unless Illinois and North Carolina lay stink bombs in their respective tourneys and even then it is a long shot.

#1 (4th overall)
This is a mess. There are still 9 teams with a chance at the #1. Some are very remote. I have listed them in the order of the likelyhood it will occur as well as what must occur for each team to get the #1 seed. If the first team in the list does not take care of business then the second team will have the inside track if they take care of business. If the first and second team do not take care of business then the third team will have the inside track and so on and so on.

  1. Kansas - if they win the Big 12 tourney. (#1 RPI, we will see how much this stat matters)
  2. Kentucky - if they win the SEC tourney (I wouldn't be surprised if they moved ahead of Kansas if they both won out)
  3. Oklahoma St. - if they win the Big 12 tourney.
  4. Arizona - if they win the Pac 10 tourney (They are not at the top of the list because I am giveing them some West Coast bias along with the elite media's East Coast bias. Well that and the fact that they have a shakier resume than the teams above them)
  5. UConn - if they win the Big East tourney
  6. BC - if they win the Big East tourney (The pundits will claim that BC was not dissed all season long if this happens. Of course they will forget to mention that they were choice 6. Even if all the teams above them lose it still is a long shot)
  7. Louisville - if they win the Conference USA tourney (Very long shot.)
  8. Duke - if the win the ACC tourney (I can't imagine that the committee would give the ACC 3 top seeds.)
  9. Washington (The committee will be real desparate at this point)

If they all lose, I don't have a clue what will happen, but I suppose that Kentucky would get it by default.

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