Friday, February 25, 2005

Tournament Status of Teams (2/25 - The true bubble)

Here are the bubble teams. These resumes all have flaws. You can make a better case for not including these teams than you can for including them. Check back later tonight for the teams that are on life support. As was indicated in the other post there are only 5 spots remaining. Too bad I don’t know if 5 are actually worthy.

RPI(Old) - The RPI as calculated this year (vs the RPI calculated in previous years)
R/N - Road and Neutral site record
L10 - Record in last 10 games
Good win - A win against a Top 50 RPI team
Bad Loss - A loss against a team ranked lower than 100

American East:
Vermont (21-6, 16-2, RPI(Old):23(42), 4-4 vs Top 100, R/N: 9-6, L10: 7-3)
Good Wins: @Holy Cross
Bad Losses: @American, @Maine
From In to a bubble team in one loss. It doesn't seem fair. Such is life from a small conference. Vermont now has a matching black eye to go along with that American loss. Vermont please win the conference tournament. You've had a great season don't blow it now. One more loss might finish Vermont off, especially if it is early in the conference tourney.

(2/25)Vermont has done about as well as they can for a school in a small conference. They played Kansas tough on the road and won all the games they should have. That loss to American is a black eye, but the committee wouldn't dare leave them out at this point.

ACC
Georgia Tech (16-9, 7-7, RPI 50(36), 5-8 vs Top 100, R/N 4-6, L10: 5-5)
Good Wins: Miami, Wake Forest
Bad Losses: Virginia Tech
Projected Seed: 9
(3/1) What a difference a few days make. Georgia Tech wins and lots of teams are dropping like flies around them. They are in good shape all of a sudden. All they have to do is take care of business against Clemson in the last game of the season. Not an easy task for ACC bubble teams lately.

(2/25)They aren’t going anywhere but the NIT until they get a winning record over the last 10 games. 4-6 in the last 10, 5-8 vs the Top 100. Not good. The only thing saving them is the win against Wake Forest.

Big East
West Virginia (18-8, 8-7, RPI 55(41), 5-7 vs Top 100, R/N 6-4, L10: 7-3)
Good Wins: @LSU, @Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh
Bad Losses: (N)Marshall
(3/1) All they have to do is beat Seton Hall. There are no teams that can jump them at this point without them losing. It is their bid to lose.

(2/25) They beat the easy teams and lost to the tough ones. The quintessential definition of a bubble team.

Georgetown (16-9, 8-6, RPI 61(68), 5-8 vs Top 100, R/N 6-5, L10: 5-5)
Good Wins: @Davidson, @Villanova, @Pittsburgh, W. Virginia
Bad Losses: @St.John’s Projected Seed: 11
(3/1)That win @Villanova will help Georgetown stand out from the competition. One more win should be enough. That RPI is starting to become a concern for Georgetown.

(2/25)That St. John’s loss was a killer. Can someone explain to me again why Iowa St., Texas and Maryland are considered safer bets to dance?

Big 12
Iowa St. (15-10, 7-7, RPI 79(58), 6-7 vs Top 100, R/N 3-7, L10: 7-3)
Good Wins: Oklahoma, @Texas, Texas Tech, @Kansas
Bad Losses: @Xavier, @Kansas St., Nebraska
Projected Seed: 12
(3/1)From almost in on the 25th to just about out on 3/1. Iowa St. turning things around again. This time for the worst. A drop of 19 points in the RPI since we last checked in with them.

(2/25)How does a team go 3-7 on the road losing to Xavier and Kansas St and then win at Kansas? Iowa St. is finally turning things around at the right time. 7-3 in the last 10 is not bad at this stage of the season.

Missouri Valley Conference
N. Iowa (20-9, 11-7, RPI 35(40), 6-6 vs Top 100, R/N 8-7, L10: 7-3)
Good Wins: S. Illinois, @Wichita St.
Bad Losses: @Evansville, @Bradley, @Drake
Projected Seed: 12
(3/1) Took Wichita St.'s spot. The MVC deserves two spots. The team to advance to the final against S. Illinois will get this spot. This is a rare case where a tournament spot is reserved for a conference.

Pac-10
Stanford (16-10, 10-6, RPI 37(42), 7-8 vs Top 100, R/N 7-9, L10: 7-3)
Good Wins: Arizona, @UCLA, UCLA
Bad Losses: (N) Tennessee, @Santa Clara
Projected Seed: 9
(3/1) Living life on the edge. If they keep playing teams close they are eventually going to be burned. They win, others lose and they find themselves with a 9 seed. I am not sure if it is deserved though.

(2/25)If the last tournament spot comes down to UCLA and Stanford, Stanford is in good shape.

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